Back in January 2016 I wrote the following. What do you think?
We are experiencing some very turbulent times in the global economic environment. And we also are experiencing a sharp downturn
Wall Street prognosticators are trying to do is strike fear into the investing public. These Wall Street bullies are looking for an increase in trading. These bullies want you to move your money from one asset class to another. Remember they make money on every transaction, whether you make money or not.
Wall Street has a product for every situation. And they know the investing public is constantly searching for the next big ‘thing’.
Investors’ real goal is stock market returns with Treasury bill risk.
This is unattainable. Remember, where there is no risk there is no reward. This is true in all other areas of our lives, not just the stock market.
What we must remember is that stock market or equity risk is only part of the problem. Inflation risk is the most destructive to your savings over the long term. It is constant and unrelentingly eating away at your purchasing power.
Owning equities or stocks may be the best way to combat inflation risk.
The most successful investors of all time have one strategy, a strategy that does not always look great, but over time leads to success. These successful investors are not always looking for the next great strategy. At times they will look like they do not know what they are doing. These successful investors know risk is unavoidable.
It has been proven time and again that market timing DOES NOT work. Not only must you be right getting out of the market, you must also be right about getting back in. Research has proven that this is NOT done consistently.
I find it curious that investors see past ‘crashes’ as buying opportunities while current or future ‘crashes’ are seen as risk.
A fun fact is that since 1925 the S&P 500 has averaged approximately 9.75%. During this time there have downturns of 10% or more 89 times. That’s approximately one per year. (Our current (2016) downturn has recently reached the 10% threshold.)
So if you want to keep control of your money and earn good market returns you must live with downturns. Because with downside volatility there is the upside volatility.
There are ways to control your risk while earning good market returns, long term.
Investing for a long term goal such as retirement requires patience, a prudent strategy and discipline. This, in most cases, requires the assistance of a good coach. A good coach will guide you in following these three simple investing rules.
Own equities….globally diversify…..rebalance.
If you panic and sell you are locking in any losses you have. This is a huge mistake. Or you can look at our current downturn as a buying opportunity.
To succeed in reaching your long term financial goals you don’t need to know everything about investing, but you do need to know the right things.